Download Drift into Failure: From Hunting Broken Components to by Sidney Dekker PDF

By Sidney Dekker

What does the cave in of sub-prime lending have in universal with a damaged jackscrew in an airliner's tailplane? Or the oil spill catastrophe within the Gulf of Mexico with the burn-up of area commute Columbia? those have been platforms that drifted into failure. whereas pursuing good fortune in a dynamic, advanced surroundings with constrained assets and a number of target conflicts, a succession of small, daily judgements ultimately produced breakdowns on a tremendous scale. we have now hassle greedy the complexity and normality that provides upward push to such huge occasions. We hunt for damaged components, fixable homes, humans we will be able to carry liable. Our analyses of advanced approach breakdowns stay depressingly linear, depressingly componential - imprisoned within the house of rules as soon as outlined via Newton and Descartes. the expansion of complexity in society has outpaced our figuring out of ways complicated structures paintings and fail. Our applied sciences have got sooner than our theories. we will construct issues - deep-sea oil rigs, jackscrews, collateralized debt duties - whose houses we comprehend in isolation. yet in aggressive, regulated societies, their connections proliferate, their interactions and interdependencies multiply, their complexities mushroom. This ebook explores complexity conception and platforms pondering to higher know the way advanced platforms float into failure. It reports delicate dependence on preliminary stipulations, unruly expertise, tipping issues, range - and unearths that failure emerges opportunistically, non-randomly, from the very webs of relationships that breed good fortune and that are meant to guard businesses from catastrophe. It develops a vocabulary that permits us to harness complexity and locate new methods of handling float.

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Additional info for Drift into Failure: From Hunting Broken Components to Understanding Complex Systems

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Complexity: Life at the edge of chaos, Second Edition. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.  139. This page has been left blank intentionally 2 Features of drift v I n the early afternoon of January 31, 2000, Alaska Airlines flight 261, a McDonnell Douglas MD-80 took off from Puerto Vallarta in Mexico, bound for Seattle. 1 A bit into the flight, the pilots contacted the airline’s dispatch and maintenance control facilities in Seattle on the radio. This was a shared company radio frequency between Alaska Airlines’ dispatch and maintenance facilities at Seattle and its operations and maintenance facilities at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).

The agency is the second-largest source of federal income after the Internal Revenue Service. In 2009 it received 264 million dollars from offshore oil and gas production, mainly from royalties and from leasing blocks of sea floor. No one agency was solely responsible for guaranteeing overall rig safety. Self-regulation or voluntary oversight, as with Wall Street during the collaterized debt obligation hausse, took over from externally dictated regulation and close government monitoring. Oil rig inspections by the government in the Gulf took the form of helicopter visits to drilling platforms.

Amityville, NY: Baywood Publishing Company, Inc. Epistemology is the branch of philosophy that asks how we know what we know. By epistemological space, I mean a space in which certain ideas are seen as logical or possible, while other ideas are seen as ridiculous or even fall completely out of consideration because the epistemological space contains no language, no knowledge to put them in. g. Pierre Simon Laplace, 1749–1827) played a greater role in popularizing some of the ideas more then they themselves did.

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